GBP/USD extends its recovery from the multi-month low it set in the previous week and trades above 1.2500. The improving market sentiment on easing concerns over Trump tariffs fuelling inflation makes it difficult for the US Dollar (USD) to find demand and allows the pair to stretch higher.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the 4-hour chart rose above 50 and GBP/USD closed the last 4-hour candle above the 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), highlighting a buildup of recovery momentum.
On the upside, 1.2500 (static level, round level, 50-period SMA) aligns as immediate resistance before 1.2525 (Fibonacci 38.2% retracement) of the latest downtrend) and 1.2570-1.2575 (100-period SMA; Fibonacci 50% retracement). Looking south, first support could be spotted at 1.2460-1.2450 (Fibonacci 23.6% retracement, 20-period SMA) ahead of 1.2400 (round level, static level).
After touching a fresh multi-month low near 1.2350 on Thursday, GBP/USD staged a technical correction and closed in positive territory on Friday. Early Monday, the pair benefits from improving risk mood and continues to stretch higher toward 1.2500.
Following a bearish start to the year, Wall Street's main indexes gathered bullish momentum and registered strong gains on Friday. Early Monday, US stock index futures trade in the green, making it hard for the US Dollar (USD) to hold its ground.
December Factory Orders will be the only noticeable data featured in the US economic calendar on Monday. Ahead of this week's key employment-related releases, however, investors are unlikely to react to this data. Hence, the risk perception could continue to influence the USD's valuation and drive GBP/USD's action.
On Tuesday, JOLTS Job Openings data for November and the ISM Services PMI report for December from the US will be watched closely by market participants.
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